Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.000589 0.000678 0.000773 0.000881 0.001000 0.001128 0.001275
2025-06-01 0.000434 0.000553 0.000690 0.000856 0.001052 0.001275 0.001544
2025-06-08 0.000345 0.000473 0.000628 0.000825 0.001068 0.001353 0.001710
2025-06-15 0.000292 0.000427 0.000597 0.000824 0.001112 0.001461 0.001910
2025-06-22 0.000252 0.000390 0.000573 0.000824 0.001153 0.001562 0.002101
2025-06-29 0.000216 0.000355 0.000545 0.000815 0.001180 0.001643 0.002266
2025-07-06 0.000185 0.000322 0.000516 0.000801 0.001196 0.001709 0.002412
2025-07-13 0.000169 0.000309 0.000514 0.000822 0.001258 0.001835 0.002637
2025-07-20 0.000154 0.000295 0.000508 0.000837 0.001310 0.001948 0.002846
2025-07-27 0.000135 0.000272 0.000487 0.000827 0.001328 0.002013 0.002994
2025-08-03 0.000116 0.000247 0.000461 0.000808 0.001330 0.002057 0.003111
2025-08-10 0.000106 0.000236 0.000455 0.000818 0.001374 0.002158 0.003309
2025-08-17 0.000095 0.000224 0.000446 0.000823 0.001410 0.002251 0.003498
2025-08-24 0.000080 0.000200 0.000416 0.000793 0.001393 0.002267 0.003579
2025-08-31 0.000067 0.000180 0.000389 0.000765 0.001377 0.002282 0.003659
2025-09-07 0.000060 0.000169 0.000378 0.000763 0.001401 0.002354 0.003822
2025-09-14 0.000054 0.000159 0.000369 0.000764 0.001427 0.002431 0.003992
2025-09-21 0.000047 0.000148 0.000356 0.000756 0.001439 0.002487 0.004132
2025-09-28 0.000041 0.000136 0.000340 0.000743 0.001442 0.002529 0.004251
2025-10-05 0.000038 0.000134 0.000343 0.000762 0.001500 0.002655 0.004498
2025-10-12 0.000035 0.000130 0.000343 0.000776 0.001546 0.002765 0.004723
2025-10-19 0.000031 0.000121 0.000331 0.000767 0.001555 0.002816 0.004858
2025-10-26 0.000026 0.000111 0.000314 0.000749 0.001548 0.002840 0.004955